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Hockey is in the water in Norway โ I grew up on outdoor rinks in and around Oslo, playing until my feet went numb and following the NHL through grainy late-night streams. As I got older the game pulled me from the ice toward the analysis, and I became fascinated by how much hidden structure sits beneath a sport most fans only judge by the final horn. I build my picks around the quiet deciders: goaltending form, the state of the special teams, shot quality, and the way a relentless travel schedule grinds teams down across a long season. Expected goals and possession numbers tell a steadier story than a hot or cold week on the scoreboard, especially in a sport this prone to bounces. Nine years in, I respect how volatile hockey is. A goaltender can stand on his head and steal a game no model foresaw. So I lean on sound process, calibrated expectations, and explaining the reasoning behind a puck line rather than promising certainty. โ Henrik Solberg

Across 23,990 NHL regular-season games, 22.9% were tied after 60 minutes. I break down overtime and shootout rates and what 3-on-3 changed.
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